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Time Series & Trend · Question 64 of 68

Question 64

HardOriginal question

For the same sales 10, 12, 15, 17 and 21 (2021 to 2025, xx in years from 2023), what is the slope bb of the least-squares trend line?

Options for question 64

Show the answer and explanation
CorrectNot quiteAnswer C

Correct answer: C

Explanation

  1. With ∑x=0\sum x = 0, b=∑xy∑x2b = \frac{\sum xy}{\sum x^{2}}. Here ∑xy=−20−12+0+17+42=27\sum xy = -20 - 12 + 0 + 17 + 42 = 27 and ∑x2=4+1+0+1+4=10\sum x^{2} = 4 + 1 + 0 + 1 + 4 = 10.

  2. b=2710=2.7b = \frac{27}{10} = 2.7: sales rise by about 2.7 a year.

Worth noting

5.4 divides ∑xy\sum xy by n=5n = 5 instead of by ∑x2=10\sum x^{2} = 10.

Concept
The slope by least squares
Typical time
120 s
Your time
—
The rule this testsA straight-line trend by least squares
Practise this chapter →

Ten questions from Time Series & Trend, at your own pace.

Practise this chapter →

Ten questions from Time Series & Trend, at your own pace.