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Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem · Question 89 of 125

What is the probability that the ball moved and the ball drawn are of the same colour?

Question 89

MediumOriginal question

Bag I has 3 red and 2 black balls; bag II has 2 red and 3 black balls. One ball is drawn at random from bag I and put into bag II without its colour being seen. Then a ball is drawn at random from bag II.

What is the probability that the ball moved and the ball drawn are of the same colour?

Options for question 89

Show the answer and explanation
CorrectNot quiteAnswer D

Correct answer: D

Explanation

  1. Both red: 35×36=930\frac{3}{5} \times \frac{3}{6} = \frac{9}{30}; both black: after a black ball moves in, bag II has 4 black balls of 6, so 25×46=830\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{4}{6} = \frac{8}{30}.

  2. 930+830=1730\frac{9}{30} + \frac{8}{30} = \frac{17}{30}.

Worth noting

1225=35×25+25×35\frac{12}{25} = \frac{3}{5} \times \frac{2}{5} + \frac{2}{5} \times \frac{3}{5} draws from bag II as it was, without the ball moved in.

Concept
A bag changed by an earlier draw
Typical time
120 s
Your time
—
The rule this testsThe theorem of total probability
Practise this chapter →

Ten questions from Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem, at your own pace.

Practise this chapter →

Ten questions from Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem, at your own pace.