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Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem · Question 77 of 125

Question 77

HardOriginal question

A machine runs when its motor works and at least one of its two fans works. The motor and the two fans work independently, with probabilities 0.9, 0.8 and 0.7. What is the probability that the machine runs?

Options for question 77

Show the answer and explanation
CorrectNot quiteAnswer B

Correct answer: B

Explanation

  1. Both fans fail with probability 0.2×0.3=0.060.2 \times 0.3 = 0.06, so at least one works with probability 0.940.94.

  2. The motor must work as well: 0.9×0.94=0.8460.9 \times 0.94 = 0.846.

Worth noting

0.504 is 0.9×0.8×0.70.9 \times 0.8 \times 0.7, which needs both fans, but one is enough.

Concept
Two or three independent trials
Typical time
120 s
Your time
—
The rule this testsIndependent events
Practise this chapter →

Ten questions from Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem, at your own pace.

Practise this chapter →

Ten questions from Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem, at your own pace.